SAIC
Science Applications InternatioOpen133.28+0.23 +0.17%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 14:51 ET · 15m delay
Open
133.28
Prev close
133.05
Day range
131.54134.38
52-week range
81.08142.66
Volume
216.60K0.48×
Mkt cap
5.58B
P/E ttm
15.55
Fwd P/E
11.60
EPS ttm
8.57
Div yield
1.11%
Earnings
Aug 31, 2026
From 52w high
−6.58%
SAIC market-implied price distribution
SAIC Price at Expiry
18 OTM quotes · ATM IV 31.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 133.28
Expected price
135.40
forward 133.46
68% range
123–146
−7.3% / +9.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 113.12 | −15.1% |
| 16% | 123.49 | −7.3% |
| 25% | 126.98 | −4.7% |
| 50% (median) | 133.51 | +0.2% |
| 75% | 140.81 | +5.6% |
| 84% | 145.77 | +9.4% |
| 95% | 175.01 | +31.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (139.94) | 27% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (146.61) | 15% |
| Down 5% or more (126.62) | 24% |
| Down 10% or more (119.95) | 10% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 10%, 0.7× the 16% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.