SA
Seabridge Gold, Inc.After hours26.73−0.87 −3.15%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 26.73 −0.01%
Open
27.70
Prev close
27.60
Day range
26.4727.88
52-week range
21.6740.06
Volume
424.42K0.68×
Mkt cap
2.88B
P/E ttm
133.65
Fwd P/E
-95.46
EPS ttm
0.2000
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
—
From 52w high
−33.28%
SA market-implied price distribution
SA Price at Expiry
25 OTM quotes · ATM IV 54.6%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 26.73
Expected price
26.93
forward 26.97
68% range
22–31
−16.9% / +15.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 13.93 | −47.9% |
| 16% | 22.22 | −16.9% |
| 25% | 23.97 | −10.3% |
| 50% (median) | 26.69 | −0.1% |
| 75% | 29.37 | +9.9% |
| 84% | 30.96 | +15.8% |
| 95% | 38.04 | +42.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (28.07) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (29.40) | 25% |
| Down 5% or more (25.39) | 37% |
| Down 10% or more (24.06) | 26% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 26%, 0.9× the 29% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.