S
SentinelOne, Inc.After hours24.01−1.65 −6.43%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 24.02 +0.05%
Open
23.46
Prev close
25.66
Day range
23.4625.35
52-week range
11.8126.50
Volume
27.55M3.43×
Mkt cap
8.36B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
52.09
EPS ttm
-1.01
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 27, 2026
From 52w high
−9.40%
S market-implied price distribution
S Price at Expiry
13 OTM quotes · ATM IV 45.3%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 24.01
Expected price
24.30
forward 24.27
68% range
21–27
−12.8% / +14.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 17.07 | −28.9% |
| 16% | 20.94 | −12.8% |
| 25% | 22.14 | −7.8% |
| 50% (median) | 23.96 | −0.2% |
| 75% | 25.96 | +8.1% |
| 84% | 27.48 | +14.4% |
| 95% | 32.78 | +36.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (25.21) | 33% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (26.41) | 22% |
| Down 5% or more (22.81) | 33% |
| Down 10% or more (21.61) | 20% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 20%, 1.0× the 21% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.