RYTM
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Open89.54−0.28 −0.31%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 13, 10:16 ET · 15m delay
Open
89.63
Prev close
89.82
Day range
88.0090.51
52-week range
74.50122.20
Volume
28.30K0.04×
Mkt cap
6.17B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-143.43
EPS ttm
-3.12
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 4, 2026
From 52w high
−26.73%
RYTM market-implied price distribution
RYTM Price at Expiry
10 OTM quotes · ATM IV 42.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
32%
spot 89.54
Expected price
90.47
forward 89.86
68% range
82–93
−8.1% / +4.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 77.15 | −13.8% |
| 16% | 82.25 | −8.1% |
| 25% | 84.94 | −5.1% |
| 50% (median) | 87.27 | −2.5% |
| 75% | 90.78 | +1.4% |
| 84% | 93.28 | +4.2% |
| 95% | 105.24 | +17.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (94.02) | 14% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (98.49) | 8.1% |
| Down 5% or more (85.06) | 25% |
| Down 10% or more (80.59) | 11% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 11%, 0.5× the 23% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.