RTX
RTX CorporationPre-market186.66+0.69 +0.37%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 187.00 +0.18%
Open
186.71
Prev close
185.97
Day range
185.95187.41
52-week range
155.64226.88
Volume
3.76M0.85×
Mkt cap
251.57B
P/E ttm
32.86
Fwd P/E
23.73
EPS ttm
5.68
Div yield
1.56%
Earnings
Oct 20, 2026
From 52w high
−17.73%
RTX market-implied price distribution
RTX Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 30.5%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 186.66
Expected price
186.63
forward 187.06
68% range
171–203
−8.5% / +8.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 153.92 | −17.5% |
| 16% | 170.82 | −8.5% |
| 25% | 176.51 | −5.4% |
| 50% (median) | 187.05 | +0.2% |
| 75% | 197.47 | +5.8% |
| 84% | 202.99 | +8.7% |
| 95% | 217.74 | +16.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (195.99) | 28% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (205.33) | 13% |
| Down 5% or more (177.33) | 27% |
| Down 10% or more (167.99) | 13% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 13%, 1.0× the 12% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.