RTO
Rentokil Initial plcPre-market20.37+0.11 +0.54%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 20.50 +0.64%
Open
20.29
Prev close
20.26
Day range
20.1420.43
52-week range
19.5034.67
Volume
964.37K0.55×
Mkt cap
10.25B
P/E ttm
32.33
Fwd P/E
13.91
EPS ttm
0.6300
Div yield
3.12%
Earnings
Jul 30, 2026
From 52w high
−41.25%
RTO market-implied price distribution
RTO Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 40.8%
Days to expiry
37
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
79%
spot 20.37
Expected price
23.12
forward 23.23
68% range
17–26
−15.9% / +26.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 13.63 | −33.1% |
| 16% | 17.14 | −15.9% |
| 25% | 21.34 | +4.8% |
| 50% (median) | 23.54 | +15.5% |
| 75% | 24.95 | +22.5% |
| 84% | 25.77 | +26.5% |
| 95% | 35.41 | +73.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (21.39) | 75% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (22.41) | 67% |
| Down 5% or more (19.35) | 19% |
| Down 10% or more (18.33) | 18% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 18%, 4.4× the 4.0% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.