NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 32.12+0.16%
Open
31.89
Prev close
31.98
Day range
31.6132.38
52-week range
29.2966.14
Volume
5.58M0.86×
Mkt cap
15.43B
P/E ttm
29.15
Fwd P/E
24.88
EPS ttm
1.10
Div yield
2.28%
Earnings
Oct 21, 2026
From 52w high
−51.51%
ROL market-implied price distribution
ODDS
ROL Price at Expiry
15 OTM quotes · ATM IV 38.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 32.07
Expected price
31.76
forward 32.02
68% range
28–35
−12.5% / +10.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
TGT
Target Price
PCTL
Percentiles
Chance below
Price
vs spot
5%
22.01
−31.4%
16%
28.06
−12.5%
25%
29.49
−8.0%
50% (median)
31.88
−0.6%
75%
34.13
+6.4%
84%
35.32
+10.1%
95%
38.50
+20.0%
MOVE
Move Odds
Up 5% or more (33.67)
29%
Up 10% or more (35.28)
16%
Down 5% or more (30.47)
34%
Down 10% or more (28.86)
20%
Options price a 10%+ drop at 20%, 0.9× the 22% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.