ROCK
Gibraltar Industries, Inc.Open36.86−0.03 −0.08%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 14:51 ET · 15m delay
Open
37.05
Prev close
36.89
Day range
35.8937.86
52-week range
33.5675.08
Volume
194.22K0.59×
Mkt cap
1.09B
P/E ttm
18.25
Fwd P/E
7.66
EPS ttm
2.02
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−50.91%
ROCK market-implied price distribution
ROCK Price at Expiry
10 OTM quotes · ATM IV 62.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
52%
spot 36.86
Expected price
38.47
forward 38.30
68% range
30–45
−18.1% / +23.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 18.18 | −50.7% |
| 16% | 30.19 | −18.1% |
| 25% | 32.87 | −10.8% |
| 50% (median) | 37.20 | +0.9% |
| 75% | 42.00 | +13.9% |
| 84% | 45.35 | +23.0% |
| 95% | 64.25 | +74.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (38.70) | 41% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (40.55) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (35.02) | 36% |
| Down 10% or more (33.17) | 26% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 26%, 1.0× the 27% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.