RF
Regions Financial CorporationPre-market27.37+0.34 +1.26%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
27.08
Prev close
27.03
Day range
27.0627.55
52-week range
22.7032.47
Volume
10.51M1.17×
Mkt cap
23.32B
P/E ttm
11.31
Fwd P/E
9.61
EPS ttm
2.42
Div yield
4.00%
Earnings
Oct 16, 2026
From 52w high
−15.71%
RF market-implied price distribution
RF Price at Expiry
23 OTM quotes · ATM IV 30.6%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
55%
spot 27.37
Expected price
27.73
forward 27.58
68% range
25–30
−7.7% / +9.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 22.33 | −18.4% |
| 16% | 25.26 | −7.7% |
| 25% | 26.13 | −4.5% |
| 50% (median) | 27.65 | +1.0% |
| 75% | 29.18 | +6.6% |
| 84% | 30.06 | +9.8% |
| 95% | 33.58 | +22.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (28.74) | 31% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (30.11) | 16% |
| Down 5% or more (26.00) | 23% |
| Down 10% or more (24.63) | 12% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 12%, 0.8× the 14% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.