RAPP
Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.Open29.41−0.74 −2.47%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 13, 10:17 ET · 15m delay
Open
30.00
Prev close
30.15
Day range
29.0830.01
52-week range
23.7552.93
Volume
15.80K0.04×
Mkt cap
1.41B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-5.78
EPS ttm
-3.03
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−44.45%
RAPP market-implied price distribution
RAPP Price at Expiry
16 OTM quotes · ATM IV 117.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
41%
spot 29.41
Expected price
30.11
forward 30.17
68% range
14–37
−51.8% / +26.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 8.68 | −70.5% |
| 16% | 14.18 | −51.8% |
| 25% | 22.01 | −25.2% |
| 50% (median) | 27.81 | −5.4% |
| 75% | 33.13 | +12.7% |
| 84% | 37.11 | +26.2% |
| 95% | 65.40 | +122.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (30.88) | 34% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (32.35) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (27.93) | 51% |
| Down 10% or more (26.46) | 43% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 43%, 1.0× the 44% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.