R
Ryder System, Inc.Open236.87−0.64 −0.27%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:15 ET · 20m delay
Open
238.01
Prev close
237.51
Day range
236.60238.85
52-week range
157.67284.25
Volume
7.64K0.03×
Mkt cap
9.08B
P/E ttm
19.24
Fwd P/E
13.44
EPS ttm
12.31
Div yield
1.70%
Earnings
Oct 22, 2026
From 52w high
−16.67%
R market-implied price distribution
R Price at Expiry
29 OTM quotes · ATM IV 34.3%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
55%
spot 236.87
Expected price
238.57
forward 239.25
68% range
215–262
−9.2% / +10.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 170.33 | −28.1% |
| 16% | 215.04 | −9.2% |
| 25% | 224.26 | −5.3% |
| 50% (median) | 239.51 | +1.1% |
| 75% | 253.93 | +7.2% |
| 84% | 261.76 | +10.5% |
| 95% | 286.04 | +20.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (248.71) | 33% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (260.56) | 17% |
| Down 5% or more (225.03) | 26% |
| Down 10% or more (213.18) | 15% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 15%, 0.9× the 16% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.