QGEN
Qiagen N.V.After hours45.44+0.13 +0.29%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 45.44 −0.02%
Open
45.77
Prev close
45.31
Day range
44.9745.79
52-week range
32.5357.82
Volume
1.44M0.57×
Mkt cap
9.38B
P/E ttm
23.07
Fwd P/E
17.39
EPS ttm
1.97
Div yield
0.77%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−21.41%
QGEN market-implied price distribution
QGEN Price at Expiry
9 OTM quotes · ATM IV 51.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
43%
spot 45.44
Expected price
45.12
forward 44.94
68% range
39–51
−14.7% / +13.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 33.80 | −25.6% |
| 16% | 38.76 | −14.7% |
| 25% | 40.65 | −10.5% |
| 50% (median) | 44.44 | −2.2% |
| 75% | 48.74 | +7.3% |
| 84% | 51.37 | +13.1% |
| 95% | 61.13 | +34.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (47.71) | 30% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (49.98) | 20% |
| Down 5% or more (43.17) | 41% |
| Down 10% or more (40.90) | 26% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 26%, 0.8× the 31% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.