PURR
Hyperliquid Strategies IncAfter hours10.23−0.17 −1.63%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 10.29 +0.59%
Open
10.15
Prev close
10.40
Day range
10.1110.34
52-week range
3.0114.76
Volume
9.12M0.50×
Mkt cap
2.85B
P/E ttm
3.19
Fwd P/E
27.65
EPS ttm
3.21
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 27, 2026
From 52w high
−30.69%
PURR market-implied price distribution
PURR Price at Expiry
18 OTM quotes · ATM IV 89.1%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
44%
spot 10.23
Expected price
10.42
forward 10.25
68% range
8–13
−25.3% / +22.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6.38 | −37.7% |
| 16% | 7.64 | −25.3% |
| 25% | 8.48 | −17.1% |
| 50% (median) | 9.92 | −3.0% |
| 75% | 11.54 | +12.8% |
| 84% | 12.54 | +22.6% |
| 95% | 16.84 | +64.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (10.74) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (11.25) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (9.72) | 46% |
| Down 10% or more (9.21) | 37% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 37%, 0.9× the 39% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.