PUBM
PubMatic, Inc.Open19.13+0.61 +3.29%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 13, 15:37 ET · 15m delay
Open
18.54
Prev close
18.52
Day range
18.5419.24
52-week range
6.1519.48
Volume
338.73K0.49×
Mkt cap
871.37M
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
23.52
EPS ttm
-0.2900
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−1.80%
PUBM market-implied price distribution
PUBM Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 85.8%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
45%
spot 19.12
Expected price
19.07
forward 19.07
68% range
14–24
−27.7% / +25.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 10.84 | −43.3% |
| 16% | 13.82 | −27.7% |
| 25% | 15.34 | −19.7% |
| 50% (median) | 18.46 | −3.4% |
| 75% | 21.93 | +14.7% |
| 84% | 23.92 | +25.1% |
| 95% | 29.74 | +55.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (20.07) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (21.03) | 30% |
| Down 5% or more (18.16) | 47% |
| Down 10% or more (17.20) | 39% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 39%, 1.0× the 41% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.