PTIR
GraniteShares 2x Long PLTR DailClosed24.10−1.90 −7.31%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 14, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 23.28 −3.40%
Open
25.63
Prev close
26.00
Day range
23.8026.15
52-week range
7.8540.78
Volume
2.78M0.74×
P/E ttm
5.10
EPS ttm
4.72
Div yield
0.00%
From 52w high
−40.90%
PTIR market-implied price distribution
PTIR Price at Expiry
20 OTM quotes · ATM IV 109.8%
Days to expiry
37
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
45%
spot 24.10
Expected price
23.90
forward 24.12
68% range
16–32
−34.6% / +32.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 10.33 | −57.1% |
| 16% | 15.77 | −34.6% |
| 25% | 18.12 | −24.8% |
| 50% (median) | 23.10 | −4.1% |
| 75% | 28.63 | +18.8% |
| 84% | 31.81 | +32.0% |
| 95% | 39.71 | +64.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (25.31) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (26.51) | 33% |
| Down 5% or more (22.90) | 49% |
| Down 10% or more (21.69) | 43% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 43%, 1.0× the 45% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.