PSIX
Power Solutions International, Open51.41+1.31 +2.61%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 13, 10:18 ET · 15m delay
Open
49.90
Prev close
50.10
Day range
49.5051.41
52-week range
25.28106.50
Volume
121.80K0.28×
Mkt cap
1.19B
P/E ttm
17.49
Fwd P/E
15.77
EPS ttm
2.94
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Nov 5, 2026
From 52w high
−51.73%
PSIX market-implied price distribution
PSIX Price at Expiry
15 OTM quotes · ATM IV 91.9%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
43%
spot 51.41
Expected price
50.15
forward 50.32
68% range
36–64
−30.6% / +24.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 25.78 | −49.8% |
| 16% | 35.70 | −30.6% |
| 25% | 39.97 | −22.3% |
| 50% (median) | 48.90 | −4.9% |
| 75% | 58.71 | +14.2% |
| 84% | 64.04 | +24.6% |
| 95% | 77.78 | +51.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (53.98) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (56.55) | 30% |
| Down 5% or more (48.84) | 50% |
| Down 10% or more (46.27) | 42% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 42%, 0.9× the 45% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.