PS
Pershing Square Inc.After hours47.65−6.57 −12.12%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 47.83 +0.38%
Open
50.73
Prev close
54.22
Day range
46.6951.50
52-week range
22.0160.40
Volume
404.44K1.12×
Mkt cap
19.06B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
50.41
EPS ttm
-1.11
Div yield
0.76%
Earnings
—
From 52w high
−21.11%
PS market-implied price distribution
PS Price at Expiry
15 OTM quotes · ATM IV 72.6%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
42%
spot 47.65
Expected price
46.49
forward 46.56
68% range
36–56
−24.2% / +17.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 25.24 | −47.0% |
| 16% | 36.10 | −24.2% |
| 25% | 39.42 | −17.3% |
| 50% (median) | 45.67 | −4.2% |
| 75% | 52.29 | +9.7% |
| 84% | 56.06 | +17.6% |
| 95% | 67.73 | +42.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (50.03) | 32% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (52.42) | 25% |
| Down 5% or more (45.27) | 48% |
| Down 10% or more (42.89) | 38% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 38%, 0.9× the 41% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.