PRMB
Primo Brands CorporationOpen18.89−0.30 −1.54%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 11:21 ET · 20m delay
Open
19.02
Prev close
19.18
Day range
18.8219.25
52-week range
14.3626.21
Volume
461.95K0.11×
Mkt cap
6.84B
P/E ttm
62.95
Fwd P/E
12.80
EPS ttm
0.3000
Div yield
2.50%
Earnings
Nov 5, 2026
From 52w high
−27.95%
PRMB market-implied price distribution
PRMB Price at Expiry
12 OTM quotes · ATM IV 48.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 18.89
Expected price
18.91
forward 18.99
68% range
15–22
−18.0% / +15.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 13.16 | −30.3% |
| 16% | 15.49 | −18.0% |
| 25% | 16.84 | −10.8% |
| 50% (median) | 18.88 | −0.0% |
| 75% | 20.76 | +9.9% |
| 84% | 21.79 | +15.4% |
| 95% | 25.19 | +33.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (19.83) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (20.77) | 25% |
| Down 5% or more (17.94) | 37% |
| Down 10% or more (17.00) | 26% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 26%, 1.0× the 26% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.