PR
Permian Resources CorporationOpen23.89+0.49 +2.10%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 11:22 ET · 20m delay
Open
23.61
Prev close
23.40
Day range
23.4924.00
52-week range
11.9224.65
Volume
3.82M0.40×
Mkt cap
20.01B
P/E ttm
15.72
Fwd P/E
10.33
EPS ttm
1.52
Div yield
2.69%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−3.05%
PR market-implied price distribution
PR Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 39.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 23.89
Expected price
23.87
forward 23.98
68% range
21–27
−12.7% / +12.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 16.43 | −31.2% |
| 16% | 20.86 | −12.7% |
| 25% | 21.99 | −8.0% |
| 50% (median) | 23.88 | −0.0% |
| 75% | 25.77 | +7.9% |
| 84% | 26.87 | +12.5% |
| 95% | 30.72 | +28.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (25.09) | 33% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (26.28) | 20% |
| Down 5% or more (22.70) | 33% |
| Down 10% or more (21.50) | 21% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 21%, 1.0× the 21% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.