PPC
Pilgrim's Pride CorporationOpen28.95+0.17 +0.59%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 11:21 ET · 15m delay
Open
28.88
Prev close
28.78
Day range
28.5529.14
52-week range
25.0044.84
Volume
128.27K0.08×
Mkt cap
6.89B
P/E ttm
12.64
Fwd P/E
10.73
EPS ttm
2.29
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Jul 29, 2026
From 52w high
−35.44%
PPC market-implied price distribution
PPC Price at Expiry
10 OTM quotes · ATM IV 35.8%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 28.95
Expected price
28.77
forward 29.05
68% range
24–32
−15.5% / +11.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 19.96 | −31.0% |
| 16% | 24.47 | −15.5% |
| 25% | 26.77 | −7.5% |
| 50% (median) | 29.02 | +0.2% |
| 75% | 30.95 | +6.9% |
| 84% | 32.23 | +11.3% |
| 95% | 37.19 | +28.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (30.40) | 31% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (31.85) | 18% |
| Down 5% or more (27.50) | 31% |
| Down 10% or more (26.06) | 21% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 21%, 1.1× the 19% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.