PLTG
Leverage Shares 2X Long PLTR DaClosed22.60−1.75 −7.19%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 14, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 21.83 −3.40%
Open
23.87
Prev close
24.35
Day range
22.3824.45
52-week range
7.5444.95
Volume
136.85K0.74×
Div yield
23.87%
From 52w high
−49.72%
PLTG market-implied price distribution
PLTG Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 111.3%
Days to expiry
37
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
40%
spot 22.60
Expected price
21.60
forward 22.56
68% range
13–29
−41.0% / +28.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 7.76 | −65.7% |
| 16% | 13.33 | −41.0% |
| 25% | 16.68 | −26.2% |
| 50% (median) | 21.10 | −6.6% |
| 75% | 25.55 | +13.0% |
| 84% | 29.13 | +28.9% |
| 95% | 37.54 | +66.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (23.73) | 34% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (24.86) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (21.47) | 52% |
| Down 10% or more (20.34) | 45% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 45%, 1.0× the 45% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.