PLAY
Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Open7.43+0.34 +4.80%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 12:41 ET · 15m delay
Open
7.11
Prev close
7.09
Day range
7.117.44
52-week range
6.2622.10
Volume
913.02K0.43×
Mkt cap
258.79M
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-5.40
EPS ttm
-2.56
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Sep 14, 2026
From 52w high
−66.38%
PLAY market-implied price distribution
PLAY Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 75.8%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
46%
spot 7.43
Expected price
7.34
forward 7.41
68% range
5–9
−27.0% / +21.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 4.17 | −43.8% |
| 16% | 5.42 | −27.0% |
| 25% | 6.13 | −17.6% |
| 50% (median) | 7.28 | −2.0% |
| 75% | 8.41 | +13.1% |
| 84% | 9.02 | +21.4% |
| 95% | 10.88 | +46.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (7.80) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (8.17) | 29% |
| Down 5% or more (7.06) | 44% |
| Down 10% or more (6.69) | 36% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 36%, 0.9× the 38% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.