PL
Planet Labs PBCPre-market15.96−1.22 −7.10%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 15.98 +0.13%
Open
17.00
Prev close
17.18
Day range
15.9517.03
52-week range
10.5251.76
Volume
9.04M0.99×
Mkt cap
5.81B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-12768.00
EPS ttm
-1.18
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Sep 3, 2026
From 52w high
−69.17%
PL market-implied price distribution
PL Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 71.5%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 15.96
Expected price
16.47
forward 16.35
68% range
13–20
−17.8% / +22.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 11.31 | −29.2% |
| 16% | 13.13 | −17.8% |
| 25% | 14.02 | −12.2% |
| 50% (median) | 15.95 | −0.1% |
| 75% | 18.20 | +14.1% |
| 84% | 19.52 | +22.3% |
| 95% | 23.51 | +47.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (16.76) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (17.56) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (15.16) | 39% |
| Down 10% or more (14.36) | 29% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 29%, 1.0× the 30% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.