PINS
Pinterest, Inc.Open21.94+0.52 +2.41%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:19 ET · 20m delay
Open
21.30
Prev close
21.42
Day range
21.2421.96
52-week range
13.8435.42
Volume
829.78K0.07×
Mkt cap
12.42B
P/E ttm
64.52
Fwd P/E
9.13
EPS ttm
0.3400
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 4, 2026
From 52w high
−38.07%
PINS market-implied price distribution
PINS Price at Expiry
23 OTM quotes · ATM IV 65.1%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
41%
spot 21.94
Expected price
21.52
forward 21.46
68% range
17–25
−20.4% / +15.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 14.86 | −32.2% |
| 16% | 17.46 | −20.4% |
| 25% | 18.58 | −15.3% |
| 50% (median) | 21.02 | −4.2% |
| 75% | 23.82 | +8.6% |
| 84% | 25.43 | +15.9% |
| 95% | 30.24 | +37.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (23.04) | 31% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (24.13) | 23% |
| Down 5% or more (20.84) | 48% |
| Down 10% or more (19.75) | 36% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 36%, 1.0× the 37% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.