PI
Impinj, Inc.Open186.32−3.72 −1.96%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 12:39 ET · 15m delay
Open
189.34
Prev close
190.04
Day range
182.32189.74
52-week range
87.36247.06
Volume
155.58K0.38×
Mkt cap
5.69B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
66.46
EPS ttm
-0.9100
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Oct 28, 2026
From 52w high
−24.59%
PI market-implied price distribution
PI Price at Expiry
26 OTM quotes · ATM IV 79.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
45%
spot 186.32
Expected price
185.03
forward 185.27
68% range
139–229
−25.4% / +23.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 106.53 | −42.8% |
| 16% | 138.97 | −25.4% |
| 25% | 152.50 | −18.1% |
| 50% (median) | 180.67 | −3.0% |
| 75% | 211.90 | +13.7% |
| 84% | 229.31 | +23.1% |
| 95% | 277.33 | +48.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (195.63) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (204.95) | 30% |
| Down 5% or more (177.00) | 47% |
| Down 10% or more (167.68) | 38% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 38%, 1.0× the 40% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.