PH
Parker-Hannifin CorporationPre-market956.89−5.67 −0.59%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
957.53
Prev close
962.56
Day range
955.01969.09
52-week range
717.021,099.94
Volume
302.75K0.51×
Mkt cap
120.68B
P/E ttm
33.60
Fwd P/E
24.12
EPS ttm
28.48
Div yield
0.84%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−13.01%
PH market-implied price distribution
PH Price at Expiry
86 OTM quotes · ATM IV 32.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
55%
spot 956.89
Expected price
974.48
forward 962.85
68% range
880–1,056
−8.1% / +10.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 802.25 | −16.2% |
| 16% | 879.54 | −8.1% |
| 25% | 909.99 | −4.9% |
| 50% (median) | 967.26 | +1.1% |
| 75% | 1,024.65 | +7.1% |
| 84% | 1,055.88 | +10.3% |
| 95% | 1,147.85 | +20.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (1,004.73) | 33% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (1,052.58) | 17% |
| Down 5% or more (909.05) | 25% |
| Down 10% or more (861.20) | 12% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 12%, 0.8× the 15% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.