PDFS
PDF Solutions, Inc.Open48.26−4.43 −8.42%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 12:40 ET · 15m delay
Open
51.20
Prev close
52.69
Day range
47.3852.80
52-week range
23.5571.69
Volume
275.00K0.49×
Mkt cap
2.04B
P/E ttm
193.02
Fwd P/E
29.20
EPS ttm
0.2500
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−32.69%
PDFS market-implied price distribution
PDFS Price at Expiry
13 OTM quotes · ATM IV 78.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 48.26
Expected price
48.48
forward 48.84
68% range
35–60
−27.9% / +23.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 18.52 | −61.6% |
| 16% | 34.79 | −27.9% |
| 25% | 40.10 | −16.9% |
| 50% (median) | 47.69 | −1.2% |
| 75% | 55.07 | +14.1% |
| 84% | 59.58 | +23.5% |
| 95% | 85.35 | +76.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (50.67) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (53.08) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (45.84) | 43% |
| Down 10% or more (43.43) | 34% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 34%, 0.9× the 37% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.