P
Everpure, Inc.Pre-market155.31+0.82 +0.53%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:01 ET · 20m delayPre-market 151.22 −2.66%
Open
154.77
Prev close
154.49
Day range
151.40155.63
52-week range
56.78157.05
Volume
4.32M0.93×
Mkt cap
51.75B
P/E ttm
212.75
Fwd P/E
36.92
EPS ttm
0.7300
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 26, 2026
From 52w high
−1.11%
P market-implied price distribution
P Price at Expiry
29 OTM quotes · ATM IV 73.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
44%
spot 155.31
Expected price
154.90
forward 154.44
68% range
121–188
−22.1% / +21.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 102.66 | −33.9% |
| 16% | 121.02 | −22.1% |
| 25% | 130.16 | −16.2% |
| 50% (median) | 150.70 | −3.0% |
| 75% | 174.69 | +12.5% |
| 84% | 188.27 | +21.2% |
| 95% | 223.58 | +44.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (163.08) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (170.84) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (147.54) | 46% |
| Down 10% or more (139.78) | 36% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 36%, 1.0× the 38% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.