OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc.After hours9.29−0.05 −0.54%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 9.29 0.00%
Open
9.38
Prev close
9.34
Day range
9.089.38
52-week range
7.9517.33
Volume
15.69M0.82×
Mkt cap
14.56B
P/E ttm
77.42
Fwd P/E
9.49
EPS ttm
0.1200
Div yield
9.74%
Earnings
Oct 29, 2026
From 52w high
−46.39%
OWL market-implied price distribution
OWL Price at Expiry
9 OTM quotes · ATM IV 52.7%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
43%
spot 9.29
Expected price
9.14
forward 9.15
68% range
8–10
−16.8% / +12.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6.84 | −26.4% |
| 16% | 7.73 | −16.8% |
| 25% | 8.18 | −11.9% |
| 50% (median) | 9.07 | −2.4% |
| 75% | 9.99 | +7.6% |
| 84% | 10.49 | +12.9% |
| 95% | 11.77 | +26.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (9.75) | 31% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (10.22) | 20% |
| Down 5% or more (8.83) | 43% |
| Down 10% or more (8.36) | 29% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 29%, 1.0× the 30% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.