OVV
Ovintiv Inc. (DE)Open65.42+0.29 +0.45%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:18 ET · 20m delay
Open
65.75
Prev close
65.12
Day range
65.1865.79
52-week range
35.4767.51
Volume
376.07K0.11×
Mkt cap
18.09B
P/E ttm
18.22
Fwd P/E
8.76
EPS ttm
3.59
Div yield
1.84%
Earnings
Nov 3, 2026
From 52w high
−3.10%
OVV market-implied price distribution
OVV Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 39.6%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 65.42
Expected price
65.48
forward 65.77
68% range
57–74
−12.3% / +12.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 48.44 | −25.9% |
| 16% | 57.34 | −12.3% |
| 25% | 60.34 | −7.8% |
| 50% (median) | 65.62 | +0.3% |
| 75% | 70.76 | +8.2% |
| 84% | 73.51 | +12.4% |
| 95% | 81.29 | +24.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (68.69) | 34% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (71.96) | 21% |
| Down 5% or more (62.14) | 32% |
| Down 10% or more (58.87) | 20% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 20%, 0.9× the 21% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.