ORA
Ormat Technologies, Inc.Open91.78+0.08 +0.09%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 14:50 ET · 20m delay
Open
91.38
Prev close
91.69
Day range
90.7992.85
52-week range
87.06146.39
Volume
381.72K0.45×
Mkt cap
5.64B
P/E ttm
44.99
Fwd P/E
35.76
EPS ttm
2.04
Div yield
0.52%
Earnings
Nov 4, 2026
From 52w high
−37.31%
ORA market-implied price distribution
ORA Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 41.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 91.78
Expected price
92.08
forward 92.22
68% range
79–104
−13.9% / +12.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 71.63 | −21.9% |
| 16% | 79.03 | −13.9% |
| 25% | 83.81 | −8.7% |
| 50% (median) | 91.79 | +0.0% |
| 75% | 99.53 | +8.4% |
| 84% | 103.56 | +12.8% |
| 95% | 114.13 | +24.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (96.36) | 34% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (100.95) | 21% |
| Down 5% or more (87.19) | 34% |
| Down 10% or more (82.60) | 22% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 22%, 1.0× the 22% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.