OR
OR Royalties Inc.Open34.65−0.03 −0.09%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 14:50 ET · 20m delay
Open
35.07
Prev close
34.68
Day range
34.2735.04
52-week range
27.5448.06
Volume
411.38K0.44×
Mkt cap
6.50B
P/E ttm
22.95
Fwd P/E
25.06
EPS ttm
1.51
Div yield
0.75%
Earnings
Nov 11, 2026
From 52w high
−27.90%
OR market-implied price distribution
OR Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 40.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 34.65
Expected price
34.85
forward 34.93
68% range
30–39
−13.2% / +12.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 23.32 | −32.7% |
| 16% | 30.09 | −13.2% |
| 25% | 31.95 | −7.8% |
| 50% (median) | 34.73 | +0.2% |
| 75% | 37.39 | +7.9% |
| 84% | 38.96 | +12.4% |
| 95% | 46.34 | +33.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (36.38) | 33% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (38.12) | 20% |
| Down 5% or more (32.92) | 32% |
| Down 10% or more (31.19) | 21% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 21%, 1.0× the 21% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.