OPRA
Opera LimitedAfter hours18.11+0.50 +2.84%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 18.11 0.00%
Open
17.65
Prev close
17.61
Day range
17.6518.25
52-week range
11.7120.78
Volume
293.76K0.85×
Mkt cap
1.61B
P/E ttm
13.03
Fwd P/E
10.13
EPS ttm
1.39
Div yield
4.54%
Earnings
Aug 19, 2026
From 52w high
−12.85%
OPRA market-implied price distribution
OPRA Price at Expiry
11 OTM quotes · ATM IV 45.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 18.11
Expected price
18.16
forward 18.08
68% range
15–21
−14.6% / +14.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 9.91 | −45.3% |
| 16% | 15.46 | −14.6% |
| 25% | 16.40 | −9.5% |
| 50% (median) | 17.97 | −0.8% |
| 75% | 19.61 | +8.3% |
| 84% | 20.64 | +14.0% |
| 95% | 26.43 | +45.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (19.02) | 33% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (19.92) | 22% |
| Down 5% or more (17.20) | 37% |
| Down 10% or more (16.30) | 24% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 24%, 0.9× the 26% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.