OC
Owens Corning IncOpen112.84+0.22 +0.20%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:18 ET · 20m delay
Open
113.48
Prev close
112.61
Day range
112.09114.73
52-week range
97.53159.91
Volume
64.62K0.06×
Mkt cap
8.92B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
10.05
EPS ttm
-5.07
Div yield
2.81%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−29.44%
OC market-implied price distribution
OC Price at Expiry
27 OTM quotes · ATM IV 47.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
60%
spot 112.84
Expected price
119.86
forward 117.19
68% range
103–132
−9.1% / +17.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 88.66 | −21.4% |
| 16% | 102.61 | −9.1% |
| 25% | 107.31 | −4.9% |
| 50% (median) | 116.16 | +3.0% |
| 75% | 126.02 | +11.7% |
| 84% | 132.32 | +17.3% |
| 95% | 167.02 | +48.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (118.48) | 43% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (124.12) | 29% |
| Down 5% or more (107.19) | 25% |
| Down 10% or more (101.55) | 14% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 14%, 0.7× the 19% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.