NOW
ServiceNow, Inc.Pre-market140.32−0.54 −0.38%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 141.50 +0.86%
Open
145.54
Prev close
140.86
Day range
139.76148.14
52-week range
81.24192.97
Volume
9.59M0.55×
Mkt cap
145.07B
P/E ttm
87.70
Fwd P/E
28.00
EPS ttm
1.60
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Oct 28, 2026
From 52w high
−27.28%
NOW market-implied price distribution
NOW Price at Expiry
51 OTM quotes · ATM IV 60.3%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
46%
spot 140.32
Expected price
141.22
forward 140.76
68% range
117–164
−16.4% / +17.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 105.43 | −24.9% |
| 16% | 117.34 | −16.4% |
| 25% | 123.53 | −12.0% |
| 50% (median) | 137.79 | −1.8% |
| 75% | 154.77 | +10.3% |
| 84% | 164.37 | +17.1% |
| 95% | 189.74 | +35.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (147.34) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (154.35) | 25% |
| Down 5% or more (133.30) | 42% |
| Down 10% or more (126.29) | 30% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 30%, 1.0× the 30% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.