NMM
Navios Maritime Partners LPOpen96.60+0.36 +0.37%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 13:43 ET · 20m delay
Open
96.60
Prev close
96.24
Day range
95.8997.00
52-week range
43.4997.00
Volume
71.10K0.47×
Mkt cap
2.79B
P/E ttm
6.32
Fwd P/E
5.14
EPS ttm
15.29
Div yield
0.25%
Earnings
Aug 20, 2026
From 52w high
−0.41%
NMM market-implied price distribution
NMM Price at Expiry
9 OTM quotes · ATM IV 31.8%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
54%
spot 96.60
Expected price
96.69
forward 97.18
68% range
85–106
−11.8% / +9.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 72.67 | −24.8% |
| 16% | 85.24 | −11.8% |
| 25% | 90.86 | −5.9% |
| 50% (median) | 97.37 | +0.8% |
| 75% | 102.75 | +6.4% |
| 84% | 105.74 | +9.5% |
| 95% | 120.04 | +24.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (101.43) | 30% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (106.26) | 15% |
| Down 5% or more (91.77) | 27% |
| Down 10% or more (86.94) | 18% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 18%, 1.2× the 15% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.