NEXT
NextDecade CorporationPre-market6.68+0.06 +0.91%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delayPre-market 6.61 −1.05%
Open
6.70
Prev close
6.62
Day range
6.616.73
52-week range
4.759.24
Volume
1.39M0.54×
Mkt cap
1.78B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
44.53
EPS ttm
-1.36
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Oct 29, 2026
From 52w high
−27.71%
NEXT market-implied price distribution
NEXT Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 58.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 6.68
Expected price
6.68
forward 6.69
68% range
5–8
−19.6% / +17.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 4.46 | −33.3% |
| 16% | 5.37 | −19.6% |
| 25% | 5.81 | −13.0% |
| 50% (median) | 6.60 | −1.3% |
| 75% | 7.39 | +10.6% |
| 84% | 7.83 | +17.3% |
| 95% | 9.27 | +38.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (7.01) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (7.35) | 26% |
| Down 5% or more (6.35) | 41% |
| Down 10% or more (6.01) | 30% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 30%, 1.0× the 32% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.