NAT
Nordic American Tankers LimitedAfter hours8.790.00 0.00%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 8.81 +0.19%
Open
8.77
Prev close
8.79
Day range
8.738.88
52-week range
3.108.88
Volume
5.33M1.30×
Mkt cap
1.86B
P/E ttm
14.90
Fwd P/E
19.32
EPS ttm
0.5900
Div yield
12.29%
Earnings
—
From 52w high
−1.01%
NAT market-implied price distribution
NAT Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 46.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 8.79
Expected price
8.84
forward 8.83
68% range
7–10
−15.0% / +14.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6.48 | −26.3% |
| 16% | 7.47 | −15.0% |
| 25% | 7.92 | −9.9% |
| 50% (median) | 8.73 | −0.7% |
| 75% | 9.56 | +8.8% |
| 84% | 10.03 | +14.1% |
| 95% | 11.50 | +30.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (9.23) | 34% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (9.67) | 23% |
| Down 5% or more (8.35) | 37% |
| Down 10% or more (7.91) | 25% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 25%, 1.0× the 26% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.