MYRG
MYR Group, Inc.Open307.23−5.95 −1.90%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 13:40 ET · 15m delay
Open
308.48
Prev close
313.18
Day range
299.68317.80
52-week range
190.14503.57
Volume
119.80K0.43×
Mkt cap
4.78B
P/E ttm
29.18
Fwd P/E
21.07
EPS ttm
10.53
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Jul 29, 2026
From 52w high
−38.99%
MYRG market-implied price distribution
MYRG Price at Expiry
18 OTM quotes · ATM IV 59.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 307.23
Expected price
304.18
forward 306.44
68% range
247–360
−19.6% / +17.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 169.29 | −44.9% |
| 16% | 246.98 | −19.6% |
| 25% | 267.81 | −12.8% |
| 50% (median) | 302.91 | −1.4% |
| 75% | 338.67 | +10.2% |
| 84% | 359.90 | +17.1% |
| 95% | 434.99 | +41.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (322.59) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (337.95) | 25% |
| Down 5% or more (291.87) | 41% |
| Down 10% or more (276.51) | 30% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 30%, 0.9× the 33% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.