MUX
McEwen Inc.Open16.81−0.70 −4.03%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 13:45 ET · 20m delay
Open
17.62
Prev close
17.51
Day range
16.7217.71
52-week range
14.9329.70
Volume
314.72K0.29×
Mkt cap
1.00B
P/E ttm
13.34
Fwd P/E
4.22
EPS ttm
1.26
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−43.42%
MUX market-implied price distribution
MUX Price at Expiry
20 OTM quotes · ATM IV 61.9%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
58%
spot 16.81
Expected price
17.20
forward 17.38
68% range
12–20
−25.9% / +21.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 7.82 | −53.5% |
| 16% | 12.45 | −25.9% |
| 25% | 14.95 | −11.0% |
| 50% (median) | 17.41 | +3.6% |
| 75% | 19.36 | +15.2% |
| 84% | 20.44 | +21.6% |
| 95% | 25.52 | +51.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (17.65) | 47% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (18.49) | 35% |
| Down 5% or more (15.96) | 33% |
| Down 10% or more (15.12) | 26% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 26%, 0.9× the 28% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.