MNST
Monster Beverage CorporationPre-market43.76+0.12 +0.27%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delayPre-market 44.04 +0.64%
Open
43.82
Prev close
43.64
Day range
43.2844.06
52-week range
32.9450.17
Volume
9.14M0.88×
Mkt cap
85.73B
P/E ttm
40.52
Fwd P/E
33.45
EPS ttm
1.08
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−12.78%
MNST market-implied price distribution
MNST Price at Expiry
18 OTM quotes · ATM IV 34.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 43.76
Expected price
43.92
forward 43.96
68% range
39–49
−10.1% / +10.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 35.30 | −19.3% |
| 16% | 39.35 | −10.1% |
| 25% | 40.89 | −6.6% |
| 50% (median) | 43.85 | +0.2% |
| 75% | 46.90 | +7.2% |
| 84% | 48.53 | +10.9% |
| 95% | 53.03 | +21.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (45.95) | 32% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (48.14) | 18% |
| Down 5% or more (41.57) | 30% |
| Down 10% or more (39.38) | 16% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 16%, 0.9× the 18% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.