MMM
3M CompanyPre-market160.89+0.93 +0.58%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:02 ET · 20m delay
Open
159.50
Prev close
159.96
Day range
159.42162.56
52-week range
139.34184.90
Volume
2.42M0.76×
Mkt cap
82.97B
P/E ttm
28.58
Fwd P/E
16.38
EPS ttm
5.63
Div yield
1.94%
Earnings
Oct 20, 2026
From 52w high
−12.99%
MMM market-implied price distribution
MMM Price at Expiry
9 OTM quotes · ATM IV 31.2%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 160.89
Expected price
161.24
forward 161.22
68% range
147–175
−8.9% / +8.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 135.03 | −16.1% |
| 16% | 146.61 | −8.9% |
| 25% | 151.50 | −5.8% |
| 50% (median) | 160.50 | −0.2% |
| 75% | 169.59 | +5.4% |
| 84% | 174.51 | +8.5% |
| 95% | 188.33 | +17.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (168.93) | 26% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (176.98) | 13% |
| Down 5% or more (152.85) | 28% |
| Down 10% or more (144.80) | 14% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 14%, 1.0× the 13% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.