MIR
Mirion Technologies, Inc.Open16.44+0.18 +1.14%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 15:50 ET · 20m delay
Open
16.18
Prev close
16.25
Day range
16.0316.56
52-week range
14.0430.28
Volume
2.24M0.56×
Mkt cap
4.09B
P/E ttm
182.61
Fwd P/E
24.37
EPS ttm
0.0900
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Jul 28, 2026
From 52w high
−45.72%
MIR market-implied price distribution
MIR Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 63.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 16.44
Expected price
16.52
forward 16.56
68% range
13–20
−18.7% / +19.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 9.65 | −41.3% |
| 16% | 13.37 | −18.7% |
| 25% | 14.43 | −12.2% |
| 50% (median) | 16.39 | −0.3% |
| 75% | 18.42 | +12.1% |
| 84% | 19.59 | +19.2% |
| 95% | 23.60 | +43.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (17.26) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (18.08) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (15.61) | 39% |
| Down 10% or more (14.79) | 29% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 29%, 0.9× the 33% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.