MGA
Magna International, Inc.Pre-market63.56−0.43 −0.67%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
63.95
Prev close
63.99
Day range
63.3964.23
52-week range
43.1173.22
Volume
478.56K0.41×
Mkt cap
17.00B
P/E ttm
23.37
Fwd P/E
8.17
EPS ttm
2.72
Div yield
3.12%
Earnings
Oct 30, 2026
From 52w high
−13.19%
MGA market-implied price distribution
MGA Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 41.3%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
57%
spot 63.56
Expected price
64.40
forward 64.92
68% range
56–73
−12.4% / +14.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 45.41 | −28.6% |
| 16% | 55.67 | −12.4% |
| 25% | 59.17 | −6.9% |
| 50% (median) | 64.99 | +2.3% |
| 75% | 70.28 | +10.6% |
| 84% | 72.93 | +14.7% |
| 95% | 79.51 | +25.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (66.74) | 41% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (69.92) | 26% |
| Down 5% or more (60.38) | 29% |
| Down 10% or more (57.20) | 19% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 19%, 1.0× the 19% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.