MDLZ
Mondelez International, Inc.Pre-market61.79+1.38 +2.28%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delayPre-market 61.92 +0.21%
Open
60.57
Prev close
60.41
Day range
60.5261.83
52-week range
51.2066.65
Volume
5.49M0.67×
Mkt cap
78.86B
P/E ttm
22.72
Fwd P/E
18.38
EPS ttm
2.72
Div yield
3.37%
Earnings
Jul 28, 2026
From 52w high
−7.29%
MDLZ market-implied price distribution
MDLZ Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 29.1%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
62%
spot 61.79
Expected price
61.39
forward 62.01
68% range
55–66
−10.6% / +6.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 50.92 | −17.6% |
| 16% | 55.22 | −10.6% |
| 25% | 58.36 | −5.6% |
| 50% (median) | 63.33 | +2.5% |
| 75% | 65.36 | +5.8% |
| 84% | 65.91 | +6.7% |
| 95% | 66.38 | +7.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (64.88) | 32% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (67.97) | 1.5% |
| Down 5% or more (58.70) | 26% |
| Down 10% or more (55.61) | 17% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 17%, 1.6× the 11% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.