LTC
LTC Properties, Inc.Pre-market43.05+0.59 +1.39%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
42.57
Prev close
42.46
Day range
42.3043.14
52-week range
33.6443.60
Volume
564.02K0.95×
Mkt cap
2.32B
P/E ttm
15.60
Fwd P/E
27.33
EPS ttm
2.76
Div yield
5.30%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−1.26%
LTC market-implied price distribution
LTC Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 23.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
42%
spot 43.05
Expected price
42.70
forward 42.51
68% range
40–45
−7.3% / +5.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 37.46 | −13.0% |
| 16% | 39.91 | −7.3% |
| 25% | 40.82 | −5.2% |
| 50% (median) | 42.53 | −1.2% |
| 75% | 44.29 | +2.9% |
| 84% | 45.30 | +5.2% |
| 95% | 48.65 | +13.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (45.20) | 17% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (47.36) | 7.1% |
| Down 5% or more (40.90) | 26% |
| Down 10% or more (38.75) | 9.0% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 9.0%, 0.8× the 12% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.