LMB
Limbach Holdings, Inc.Open49.98−1.09 −2.13%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 13, 12:29 ET · 15m delay
Open
51.11
Prev close
51.07
Day range
49.9751.54
52-week range
40.74114.95
Volume
67.23K0.19×
Mkt cap
596.01M
P/E ttm
19.91
Fwd P/E
10.64
EPS ttm
2.51
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 4, 2026
From 52w high
−56.52%
LMB market-implied price distribution
LMB Price at Expiry
12 OTM quotes · ATM IV 75.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 49.98
Expected price
50.70
forward 50.86
68% range
39–62
−22.5% / +24.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 28.23 | −43.5% |
| 16% | 38.72 | −22.5% |
| 25% | 42.46 | −15.0% |
| 50% (median) | 49.84 | −0.3% |
| 75% | 57.85 | +15.7% |
| 84% | 62.43 | +24.9% |
| 95% | 76.71 | +53.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (52.48) | 41% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (54.98) | 33% |
| Down 5% or more (47.48) | 41% |
| Down 10% or more (44.98) | 33% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 33%, 0.9× the 35% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.