LINC
Lincoln Educational Services CoOpen23.69+0.06 +0.23%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 15:36 ET · 15m delay
Open
23.87
Prev close
23.63
Day range
23.2423.93
52-week range
17.2956.34
Volume
231.10K0.26×
Mkt cap
751.32M
P/E ttm
32.45
Fwd P/E
22.64
EPS ttm
0.7300
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 10, 2026
From 52w high
−57.96%
LINC market-implied price distribution
LINC Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 64.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 23.69
Expected price
23.62
forward 23.72
68% range
19–28
−20.7% / +19.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 14.53 | −38.6% |
| 16% | 18.79 | −20.7% |
| 25% | 20.37 | −14.0% |
| 50% (median) | 23.42 | −1.1% |
| 75% | 26.57 | +12.2% |
| 84% | 28.26 | +19.3% |
| 95% | 32.79 | +38.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (24.87) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (26.05) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (22.50) | 42% |
| Down 10% or more (21.32) | 32% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 32%, 0.9× the 34% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.