LIN
Linde plcPre-market487.35+3.62 +0.75%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delay
Open
483.43
Prev close
483.73
Day range
482.51490.99
52-week range
387.78548.20
Volume
1.46M0.70×
Mkt cap
224.66B
P/E ttm
31.71
Fwd P/E
24.90
EPS ttm
15.37
Div yield
1.31%
Earnings
Oct 29, 2026
From 52w high
−11.10%
LIN market-implied price distribution
LIN Price at Expiry
59 OTM quotes · ATM IV 24.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
54%
spot 487.35
Expected price
487.60
forward 490.61
68% range
454–525
−6.9% / +7.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 404.97 | −16.9% |
| 16% | 453.80 | −6.9% |
| 25% | 467.13 | −4.1% |
| 50% (median) | 490.37 | +0.6% |
| 75% | 512.89 | +5.2% |
| 84% | 525.01 | +7.7% |
| 95% | 559.80 | +14.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (511.72) | 26% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (536.09) | 11% |
| Down 5% or more (462.98) | 22% |
| Down 10% or more (438.62) | 10% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 10%, 1.2× the 8.4% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.