LII
Lennox International, Inc.Pre-market356.72+0.28 +0.08%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
355.59
Prev close
356.44
Day range
354.00361.86
52-week range
350.22587.27
Volume
283.38K0.55×
Mkt cap
12.33B
P/E ttm
15.74
Fwd P/E
13.76
EPS ttm
22.66
Div yield
1.53%
Earnings
Oct 28, 2026
From 52w high
−39.26%
LII market-implied price distribution
LII Price at Expiry
13 OTM quotes · ATM IV 45.8%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
55%
spot 356.72
Expected price
361.89
forward 363.71
68% range
307–413
−13.8% / +15.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 272.27 | −23.7% |
| 16% | 307.34 | −13.8% |
| 25% | 326.63 | −8.4% |
| 50% (median) | 362.57 | +1.6% |
| 75% | 396.73 | +11.2% |
| 84% | 413.30 | +15.9% |
| 95% | 450.76 | +26.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (374.56) | 41% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (392.39) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (338.88) | 33% |
| Down 10% or more (321.05) | 22% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 22%, 1.0× the 22% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.